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We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

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Nate Silver

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We’re living in a world where Google beats Gallup.

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You get steely nerves playing poker.

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May 18, 2024

You get steely nerves playing poker.

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May 18, 2024

We’re living in a world where Google beats Gallup.

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